Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on SD.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- San Diego are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
- NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against San Diego.
- NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.
Rob Vinciletti
Friday Card has a TOP WNBA Total, Game 2 UNDEFEATED NBA FINALS TOTAL + MLB. Soccer com below
The Friday Comp Play in International Friendly action is on the Under 2.5 in the Ireland vs Canada Match at 7:30 eastern. ** NOTE** if you like scoring dont watch this one. This has snooze fest all over it. Both teams will be tough to break down here especially Canada who is expected to win. Both teams are off wins last out and While Ireland is going to the Cup they are tough and ranked 59th in the world compared to 30th for Canada, so the game should be tight. Canada is co hosting the Cup and is looking to build momentum. They have a solid back line but need to do more to generate offense. Ireland is very similar in style. With Both teams off clean sheet wins we will back the Under here. GL Rob V-
Black Widow
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Mariners/Tigers under 8 -110
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Nationals vs Diamondbacks over 8½ -120
Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on Giants vs Cubs over 11 -110
Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Mercury/Portland Fire under 162½ -110
Alex Smart
I’ve been following the CFL long enough to know that Week 1 is always a wild card, but this matchup between the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Calgary Stampeders feels like one of those games where the numbers quietly scream value on one side. I’m rolling with the Blue Bombers -1.5 on the road, and here’s why it stands out when you dig into the trends, history, and stats that actually matter.
First off, let’s talk about how these two teams have danced over the years. The all-time series favors Calgary 81-57, but that’s the big-picture view. Zoom in on recent seasons and you see Winnipeg has been the more consistent program overall, especially when it comes to bouncing back and playing disciplined football. In 2025, Calgary finished 11-7 while Winnipeg went 10-8, but the Bombers have shown they can handle tough environments better than most West Division squads. Road favorites in this league have covered at a respectable clip in recent years when they bring that veteran core, and Winnipeg checks that box.
What really gets me excited here is the situational angle. Calgary has been solid at home historically , we’re talking winning percentages north of .700 in certain stretches , but they’ve shown vulnerability against Winnipeg’s style. Look at the scoring trends: these games often stay within a field goal. Winnipeg’s offense, built around efficiency rather than flash, has posted strong yardage-per-play numbers in recent campaigns, averaging over 6.8 yards per play in key stretches while keeping turnovers low (under 1.8 per game in solid seasons). Calgary, meanwhile, has had games where their defense gives up chunk plays, especially early in the year when timing isn’t quite there yet.
Another layer that makes this feel smart: Winnipeg’s ability to control the clock on the ground. In 2025, their lead back was pushing toward 1,100+ rushing yards with a healthy average, and that balance keeps games close on the road. Historically, when Winnipeg enters as a slight favorite away from home against divisional foes, they’ve performed well against the spread in low-total environments. This one is sitting around 48-49 points, which aligns perfectly with Winnipeg’s recent defensive trends , they’ve been stingy on third-down conversions (holding opponents under 40% in strong years) and excel at forcing punts in the first half.
Here’s where the math-geek side of me lights up. If you look at divisional road games since 2022, slight favorites like Winnipeg have hit the spread around 58% when the total stays under 50. Add in Winnipeg’s edge in turnover margin (often +0.4 or better in recent seasons) and you start seeing why laying 1.5 feels more like getting plus-money value in disguise. Calgary’s home success is real, but it’s often built on close wins rather than blowouts , they’ve covered as favorites at home less than 52% in certain recent samples against top competition.
Don’t get me wrong , Calgary will bring the heat, especially in front of their crowd. They’ve got playmakers who can flip a game with one big return or explosive pass. But that’s exactly why this spread feels right. Winnipeg doesn’t need to dominate; they just need to be the slightly sharper team in what should be a grind-it-out battle. I’ve seen too many Week 1 “home edge” narratives blow up when a battle-tested group like the Bombers shows up ready.
This one has all the ingredients of a classic cover: veteran road savvy, strong recent efficiency metrics, and a history of keeping things close in Alberta. I’m genuinely fired up about this pick , it feels like the smartest spot on the Week 1 slate. Let’s see if the Blue Bombers can kick off the season by spoiling Calgary’s home opener.
Sean Murphy
My selection is on Boston +1.5 runs over New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday.
We'll grab the insurance run with the Red Sox on Friday, noting that they've gone 18-9 when factoring in the +1.5 run-line over their last 27 contests. Sonny Gray will get the start for Boston. He's handled current Yankees hitters well, limiting them to a collective 26-for-105 (.248) with a .688 OPS and that includes Aaron Judge's 5-for-12 ledger (currently injured). New York checks in ranked just 21st in the majors in xwOBA over the last week, four spots behind Boston. Yankees starter Ryan Weathers has only seen three current Red Sox hitters previously and he's been tagged for five hits in 13 at-bats with all three of those players homering off of him. Boston's bullpen enters this game in terrific form having logged a 0.36 ERA and 0.97 WHIP across 24 2/3 innings of work over the last week. In stark contrast, the Yankees 'pen has logged a 5.79 ERA and 1.55 WHIP over that stretch. Take Boston +1.5 runs (8*).
Mike Lundin
Royals vs Twins MLB Free Pick
The Angle(s): KC right-haner Michael Wacha (4-2, 3.23 ERA) was roughed up by Texas last time out, but note that he owns a 6-1 record, a 3.30 ERA, and 50 strikeouts in 10 appearances against Minnesota.
While Wacha gave up six runs in his last start, Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews (1-3, 4.63 ERA) had an even rougher outing, surrendering seven runs in 4-1 innings of a 9-3 loss to Pittsburgh.
The Bet: ROYALS (3%).
The results don’t lie: 12-5 (71%) MLB moneyline run! Mike has a 5% MLB MONEYLINE MAX BET + additional MLB and NBA locked in for Friday.
Looking to turn your bets into a second income or level up your bankroll? Mike “The Moneymaker” Lundin is your guy. His picks don’t just win — they teach you how to think like a pro, breaking down the logic behind every play so you can grow your profits with confidence.
Andrew Gold
1% GOLD RUSH on Braves -1½
ProSportsPicks
PSP Data Driven 1* Red Sox +1.5.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Boston are 5-1 in its last 6 games on the road. NY Yankees are 2-4 in its last 6 games played in June.